Thursday, August 30, 2007

Less than Half is Not Consensus

The scientific "consensus" of opinion on man-made global warming boasted by the IPCC seems more and more tenuous by the day. The list of skeptical scientists with impressive credentials grows by the day while fewer and fewer people are falling for the media hype. Even the hype has slowed down as the media fails to inspire a sufficient level of panic in average citizens.

Now Daily Tech's Michael Asher reveals in his blog that less than half of all published scientists endorse global warming theory. Recent research into the peer-reviewed papers published on the ISI Web of Science revealed some surprising figures.

Of 528 total papers on climate change, only 38 (7%) gave an explicit endorsement of the consensus. If one considers "implicit" endorsement (accepting the consensus without explicit statement), the figure rises to 45%. However, while only 32 papers (6%) reject the consensus outright, the largest category (48%) are neutral papers, refusing to either accept or reject the hypothesis. This is no "consensus."

While the IPCC claims that the Fourth Assessment report was the work of thousands of scientists, in actual fact what has been reported in the media is only the Summary For Policymakers which was written by bureaucrats and political advisors.

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